Sports gambling is often very profitable if you know the secrets typically the “smart money” bettors work with to consistently make income. One of the greatest secrets that intelligent money gamblers use is definitely knowing when NOT in order to bet.
Here’s a best example. I actually analyzed typically the West Florida vs. Louisville video game, and concluded the fact that West Florida had the edge in the match. However , I also understood that there initially were a lot of random and unpredictable factors, and recommended to a clients that they accomplish not gamble on this kind of game. Here is my personal analysis I released just before the game:
West Florida vs . Louisville
This video game features all the indicators of being one involving the greatest games associated with the year, having both teams coming into the sport 7-0. It’s #3 graded West Virginia vs. #5 ranked Louisville, each using high-scoring offenses and stingy defenses. Last year’s game was a classic, having Western side Virginia coming back again from being down big in the independence day quarter to winning around overtime.
So what’s the game search like this year?
In case this activity were turning into played on a good basic field, West Virginia would probably be a 4-6 stage favorite. Since the game is at Louisville, WVU is a 1-point underdog. Let’s see if this makes sense…
West Virginia is usually on an unprecedented rotate. They haven’t lost given that July. 1, 2005, intending 14-0 since they dropped to Va Tech. Through the last two months they’re 13-5 ATS in addition. They’re also 7-2 ATS in their last being unfaithful video games overall, and 8-2 OBTAIN THE in their final 10 HIGHWAY games.
These types of are some very remarkable stats that tilt typically the scales in favor involving WVU regarding tonight’s online. Plus, this included added bonus is that WVU will be GETTING +1 point. This may not appear like quite a bit, but in a near match-up this way, that extra point can make the big difference between some sort of push and even a loss.
But you may be wondering what with regards to Louisville?
Louisville’s figures are really almost as good as WVU’s -except when that comes to Louisville in the point spread. In their particular last 10 games, Louisville is actually 4-6 ATS. That will said, Louisville is still 7-3 ATS in their final 10 home activities.
And even if you’re leaning towards WVU, here’s a daunting stat… Louisville hasn’t misplaced in your own home since 12 17, the year 2003! During https://sporeport.com/%ec%95%88%ec%a0%84%eb%86%80%ec%9d%b4%ed%84%b0/%e3%80%90-%ec%98%a4%eb%9d%bd%ec%8b%a4-%e3%80%91-%eb%a8%b9%ed%8a%80-%ec%9c%84%ed%97%98%ec%84%b1-%ec%a0%9c%eb%a1%9c-%ec%95%88%ec%a0%84%ed%95%9c-5%ec%b2%9c%eb%a7%8c-%eb%b3%b4%ec%a6%9d-%ec%bd%94%eb%93%9c/ is hitting 49. 5 points for each game in your own home, while hitting only quitting 15. six points per game from home. In case you did not do the math concepts, that means due to the fact their very own last home reduction they have already averaged beating their competitors by simply about 34 items per game.
In addition extraordinary, the average line in these games has only been 21 points. That method Louisville has beaten the get spread around, on average, by way of 13 points per video game at home considering 2003.
Wow… how can anyone not in favor of that?
Here’s exactly how…
Most of those stats ended up built up during the 2005 season. Shock as to, 2006, Louisville has been nearer to excellent than great. They already have acquired recent games by which they’ve only scored 28, twenty three, 24 points. These types of online games weren’t against Kentkucky Stycken. or Michigan. They were being against Cincinnati, Syracuse, plus Kansas St.
The bottom line is of which this is still a close sport to phone. Yet the things i look for is West Virginia’s protection to carry the day time. If Cincinnati, Syracuse, and Kansas St. can almost all hold Louisville under 25 points, then there’s zero explanation to think WVU can’t have one to the low to the middle of 20’s. My honest endorsement is usually to lay off that game and not really gamble at all. There usually are better activities this weekend break with more clear-cut advantages.
The final score of this game was Louisville 46, West Florida 34. Lousiville won because West Florida had 6 fumbles in addition to allowed Lousiville to gain a good punt for the TD. The results was the fact that West Virginia’s fringe has not been so big that they can can still win soon after doing so many mistakes. By simply not betting on this kind of sport, people serious about sports betting saved money many people can put to better make use of on upcoming games.