Sports betting is often very profitable if an individual know the secrets typically the “smart money” bettors use to consistently make funds. One of the primary secrets that wise money bettors use is definitely knowing when NOT to help bet.
Here’s a excellent illustration. I analyzed this Rest of the world Virginia vs. yoursite.com , and concluded that will West Florida had typically the edge in the game. Nonetheless I actually also realized that there have been a lot of random and unpredictable factors, and recommended to a clients that they perform not guarantee on this kind of game. Here is the analysis I released before the game:
West Virginia vs . Louisville
This online game possesses all the indicators of being one connected with the very best games involving the year, with both equally teams coming into the overall game 7-0. It’s #3 ranked West Virginia compared to. #5 ranked Louisville, equally having high-scoring offenses and stingy defenses. Last year’s sport was a classic, using West Virginia coming back from staying down huge in the 4th 1 fourth to winning throughout overtime.
So what’s the sport search like this year?
If this game were appearing played on a good basic field, West Florida would likely probably be a 4-6 point favorite. Since often the game is in Louisville, WVU is a 1-point under dog. Let’s see if this makes sense…
West Virginia is definitely on an unprecedented move. They haven’t lost considering that April. 1, 2005, heading 14-0 since they misplaced to Florida Tech. Through the last two months they’re 13-5 ATS too. They’re also 7-2 OBTAIN THE in their last 9 activities overall, and 8-2 OBTAIN THE in their last 10 ROUTE games.
These are some very amazing stats that tilt the scales in favor connected with WVU regarding tonight’s games. Plus, the added bonus is that WVU will be GETTING +1 point. This may not appear like substantially, but in a close up match-up similar to this, that extra point will make the change between some sort of push and a loss.
But you may be wondering what about Louisville?
Louisville’s figures are generally almost as good like WVU’s -except when the idea comes to Louisville in the point spread. In their own past 10 games, Louisville is simply 4-6 ATS. Of which said, Louisville is all the same 7-3 ATS in their final 10 home games.
Together with if you’re leaning toward WVU, here’s a intimidating stat… Louisville hasn’t dropped at home since January 16, the year 2003! During this current run Louisville is averaging 49. 5 points per game in the home, while averaging only giving up 15. six points per game with home. In case a person did not do the math concepts, that means considering their last home loss they are yet to averaged beating their very own oppositions simply by about thirty four details per game.
What’s more amazing, the average line during these games has only been recently 21 points. That stands for Louisville has beaten this pass on, on average, by means of 13 things per online game at home due to the fact 2003.
Wow… how can a person not in favor of that?
Here’s the way…
Many of those stats had been accumulated during the 2005 season. This year, 2006, Louisville has been nearer to fine than great. They also have acquired recent games that has they have already only scored 28, 12, 24 points. These types of activities weren’t against Kansas Stycken. or Michigan. Many people were against Cincinnati, Syracuse, in addition to Kansas St.
The bottom line is that this is still a close game to get in touch with. Although what I look regarding is West Virginia’s safeguard to carry the day. If Cincinnati, Syracuse, and even Kansas St. can just about all hold Louisville under thirty points, then there’s not any factor to think WVU can’t have one to this low to mid 20’s. My honest suggestion is definitely to lay off this game and definitely not gamble at all. There happen to be better video games this end of the week with more clear-cut strengths.
The final score in this game was Louisville forty four, West Virginia 34. Lousiville won because West Florida had 6 fumbles and allowed Lousiville to come back the punt for the TD. The bottom line was that will West Virginia’s fringe had not been so big which they may still win soon after building so many mistakes. By simply not betting on that game, people significant with regards to wagering saved money they will can offer better work with on forthcoming games.